Free Agent, Professor, and Superforecaster
In the past two weeks, I’ve seen a lot of people make a lot of different arguments about why they support/oppose intervening in Syria. Of all the arguments I’ve heard, the ones that irritate me the most: “I’m a Democrat/liberal and Pres. Obama thinks we should go to Syria, so I think we have to …
Continue reading “Listen — Let It Swirl Around Your Head, Then Form Your Opinion”
While the title is a bit provocative, it’s not completely unsubstantiated. Right now in the United States, some veterans have waited over 600 days to hear back about their benefits… SIX HUNDRED DAYS! That’s almost two years. I shudder when people make the improper analogy between governments and businesses, but can you imagine what would …
Continue reading “Imagine If the USA Went to War… and No One Cared”
It can be really fun to write a series of posts on a particular topic. By my count, I’ve done this at least seven times so far. Today, I’d like to start what I hope will be an oft-read series on biases in judgment and decision-making (to some, cognitive biases). Because of my background in …
Continue reading “Ignore Sunk Costs: List of Biases in Judgment and Decision-Making, Part 1”
A litte less than a week ago, I wrote a post detailing some of the lessons (or quotes) that I pulled from The Art of War. At that point, I had only read through a little more than half of the 13 chapters. Today, I’ve only got about 3 more chapters to go, but I …
At the end of August, I thought I was going to be going on a road trip from DC to Newfoundland. In preparation for said road trip, I borrowed 9 books from the library. I’ll be talking about one of those books (Good to Great) when I write about The Stockdale Paradox, (which I teased …
Jeremiah Stanghini 